SMM July 3 News: In the metals market: As of the midday close, most domestic base metals rose. SHFE copper gained 0.76%, SHFE aluminum rose 1.45%. SHFE lead advanced 0.47%. SHFE zinc edged down 0.02%. SHFE tin climbed 0.66%. SHFE nickel increased 0.59%. Additionally, the most-traded cast aluminum futures rose 1.42%, while the most-traded alumina fell 1.62%. The most-traded lithium carbonate futures rose 1.87%. The most-traded silicon metal futures gained 0.18%. The most-traded polysilicon futures edged up. Ferrous metals mostly fell. Iron ore declined 1.41%. HRC, rebar, and stainless steel all fell within 0.4%. In the coking coal and coke markets, the most-traded coking coal contract rose 1.58%, and the most-traded coke contract rose 1.89%. In overseas base metals, as of 11:46, LME metals rose across the board. LME copper gained 0.96%, LME aluminum rose 1.04%, LME lead advanced 0.8%. LME zinc increased 0.81%, LME tin climbed 2.05. LME nickel rose 1.1%. In precious metals, as of 11:46, COMEX gold rose 1.64%, and COMEX silver gained 2.76%. In domestic precious metals, SHFE gold advanced 2.67%, and the most-traded SHFE silver futures contract surged 4.05%. Strategists at OCBC Bank Group Research said in a report that gold's medium-term role as a target for asset diversification remains valid, but its price may be dragged down by a more challenging macroeconomic environment. OCBC analysts said demand for gold may be supported by the official sector, with central banks indicating they intend to increase gold reserves in the next 12 months. However, they added that investors have already priced in expectations for US Fed interest rate hikes, and the short-term macro pressure from rising real yields and a stronger US dollar is unlikely to be fully offset. OCBC expects gold prices to reach $4,360 per ounce by the end of 2026 and $4,680 per ounce by the end of Q2 2027. (Jinshi Data APP) Furthermore, as of the midday close, the most-traded platinum futures rose 3.81%, and the most-traded palladium futures gained 4.1%. As of the midday close, the most-traded European container shipping route futures contract rose 3.31% to 2,653 points. As of 11:46 on July 3, midday quotes for some futures: Spot and fundamentals Copper: Today, spot #1 copper cathode in Guangdong against the front-month contract: high-quality copper quoted at 60 yuan/mt, up 10 yuan/mt from the previous trading day; standard-quality copper quoted at 20 yuan/mt, up 20 yuan/mt from the previous trading day; SX-EW copper quoted at a discount of 50 yuan/mt, up 10 yuan/mt from the previous trading day. The average price of #1 copper cathode in Guangdong was 102,965 yuan/mt, up 625 yuan/mt from the previous trading day, while the average price of SX-EW copper was 102,875 yuan/mt, up 620 yuan/mt from the previous trading day. In the spot market, Guangdong inventories have pulled back for two consecutive days… Macro Front On the domestic front: [This year's 200 billion yuan "program of large-scale equipment upgrades and consumer goods trade-ins" funding for equipment renewal has been fully allocated] The National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) has noted that this year's 200 billion yuan ultra-long-term special sovereign bond funding to support the "program of large-scale equipment upgrades and consumer goods trade-ins" for equipment renewal has been fully allocated. (CCTV News) [PBOC's open market operations resulted in a net drain of 168.5 billion yuan on the day, and a net drain of 1,587 billion yuan for the week] The PBOC conducted 63 billion yuan of 7-day reverse repo operations today. With 231.5 billion yuan of 7-day reverse repos maturing today, this resulted in a net drain of 168.5 billion yuan for the day. For the week, the PBOC conducted 678.5 billion yuan of 7-day reverse repos and 900 billion yuan of overnight reverse repos. With 2,265.5 billion yuan of 7-day reverse repos and 900 billion yuan of overnight reverse repos maturing this week, this resulted in an aggregate net drain of 1,587 billion yuan for the week. (Jin10 Data APP) On the US dollar front: As of 11:46, the US dollar index fell 0.07% to 100.81. On Friday, the US dollar was on track for its biggest weekly loss in nearly three months, after a weaker-than-expected June payrolls report delayed market expectations for US Fed rate hikes and offered some respite to the ailing yen. A sharp slowdown in US employment growth in June prompted traders to scale back their expectations of near-term rate hikes by the US Fed, with the market now pricing in a 52% chance of a hike at the September meeting, down from 64% the previous trading day. US Treasury yields also pulled back from earlier highs, with the two-year yield snapping a three-day winning streak. OCBC currency strategist Sim Moh Siong said, "At the margin, the data is a bit dovish and helps ease concerns about an overheating labor market and the need for more aggressive policy tightening." However, he added that so long as expectations of Fed tightening remain in place, the overall outlook for the US dollar remains constructive, especially against low-yielding currencies. (Jin10 Data APP) According to CME "FedWatch": The probability of the US Fed keeping rates unchanged at the July meeting is 82.4%, and the probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point rate hike is 17.6%. For the September meeting, the probability of rates remaining unchanged is 46.8%, while the probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point rate hike is 45.6% and the probability of a cumulative 50-basis-point rate hike is 7.6%. Jin10 Data APP) CICC research report pointed out that the US added 57,000 nonfarm payrolls in June, below market expectations, indicating a cooling of the acceleration in job growth. After downward revisions to previous months, the average job gains over the past three months still reached 111,000, showing that the labour market is still expanding. Meanwhile, the unemployment rate fell to 4.2%, and the labour force participation rate continued to pull back, reflecting steady labour demand coexisting with a contraction in labour supply, with overall unemployment pressure relatively small. CICC believes that this data gives the US Fed time to wait and watch, thus maintaining the judgement that there will be neither an interest rate increase nor a cut for the rest of the year. In the medium term, the improvement in US employment this year is more attributable to the economic cycle recovery driven by AI investment, rather than short-term factors such as the World Cup. This means that if total economic demand continues to expand boosted by AI, the possibility of the US Fed resuming interest rate hikes next year cannot be ruled out. Huatai Securities research report stated that the US nonfarm payrolls in June missed expectations, mainly due to a sharp pullback in leisure and hospitality and local government employment, which had been boosted earlier by the early Memorial Day and the World Cup. By sector, both services and government saw a marked slowdown in new nonfarm jobs, while the goods sector saw a small rebound. The June nonfarm report eased market concerns about overheating risks in the US labour market. Leading indicators suggest that employment levels will be around the equilibrium level of 0‒50,000 in the coming months, maintaining the view that the US Fed will keep interest rates unchanged in H2 and may need to raise rates next year. Data: Today, France's May industrial production m/m, France's June final services PMI, Germany's June final services PMI, Eurozone June final services PMI, UK June final services PMI, and other data will be released. In addition, China's refined oil products will open a new pricing window. European Central Bank President Lagarde will attend an economic forum, and Bank of England Governor Bailey will deliver a speech on fiscal and monetary policy coordination. Notably, on July 3, the US – NYSE will be closed for one day due to the US Independence Day holiday. The US – CME, due to the US Independence Day, will have trading in its precious metals, energy, foreign exchange, US Treasury, and equity index futures contracts close early at 01:00 Beijing time on July 4. July 3 (Friday) coincides with the US Independence Day holiday, and financial market trading hours will be adjusted accordingly. The holiday schedules for overseas exchanges are as follows: (all times are Beijing time) Crude oil: As of 11:46, both benchmarks rose, with WTI up 0.52% and Brent up 0.64%. Saudi Arabia’s crude exports have surged to near pre-war levels since it resumed loading and unloading tankers in the Persian Gulf, providing further evidence that oil supplies from regional producers are recovering following the US-Iran interim peace agreement. In the six days through Wednesday, the world’s largest oil exporter shipped a daily average of 6.3 million barrels of crude, according to tanker-tracking data compiled by Bloomberg. That pace is roughly in line with the average for 2025 and nearly 90% of February’s level, when the kingdom and its Gulf neighbors ramped up supply before the Iran war broke out. (Jin10 Data APP) Citigroup said the US-Iran memorandum of understanding is expected to remain in force in the coming months and eventually be converted into a formal agreement. The incentives for de-escalating the conflict outweigh the costs of returning to confrontation. The bank reiterated its recommendation to sell into any summer rally and forecast that Brent crude will fall to $60-65 a barrel by year-end. Additionally, "gasoline prices have been a bit sticky on the way down," US Treasury Secretary Bessent said in a CBS News interview. "We’re trying to put a little pressure on the gasoline retailers. We are telling them we’re watching closely," Bessent said, "We’ve gotten positive responses from some of the big-box retailers on doing something for the consumer." Bessent hopes the average gasoline price will fall to $3 a gallon by Labor Day and said he expects oil and energy prices to continue to pull back. (From Wall Street News APP) Separately, trading in Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) Brent crude futures contracts will close early at 01:30 Beijing time on July 4 in observance of US Independence Day. Spot Market Overview: ► ► ► ► ► ► ► ► ► ► ►
Jul 3, 2026 14:22[SMM Tin Midday Commentary: Disappointing Non-Farm Payrolls Trigger US Dollar Plunge, Most-Traded SHFE Tin Contract Tests 400,000 Yuan Level Again]
Jul 3, 2026 12:24In yesterday's [SMM Analysis] EU Steel Tariff Wall Doubles to 50%: Reconstructing the New Quota System & In-Depth Analysis of 1A HRC, SMM deeply analyzed the brutal allocation logic of the EU's new 18.35 million tonnes quota. When the "50% tariff wall" and the "melting and pouring" rules completely block traditional tax-free export paths, the global steel supply chain is undergoing a forced reshuffle. Today, we shift our perspective to the ripple effects and macro-level forecasts of this storm.
Jul 3, 2026 11:42SMM July 3 News: Metals Market: Overnight, base metals on both domestic and overseas markets showed mixed performance. SHFE lead led the gains with a 0.19% increase, SHFE copper rose 0.12%, LME lead rose 0.11%, and SHFE aluminum rose 0.09%. LME tin led the losses with a 0.91% drop, SHFE tin fell 0.85%, and declines in other metals were relatively small. The most-traded alumina contract fell 1.73%, while cast aluminum rose 0.67%. In the ferrous metals sector overnight, iron ore led the losses with a 1.34% drop, while rebar and HRC fell around 0.4%. As for coking coal and coke, coking coal rose 1.07%, and coke rose 1.15%. In precious metals overnight, all rose. COMEX gold rose 1.3%, and COMEX silver rose 1.54%. On the domestic market, SHFE gold rose 1.18%, and SHFE silver rose 1.53%. As of 6:38 am on July 3, overnight closing prices: Macro Front China: [National Energy Administration: Vigorously Promote the Exploration and Development of Deep Coalbed Methane] On July 1, the National Energy Administration held a special meeting on deep coalbed methane exploration and development in Beijing. The meeting pointed out that the core task is to ensure national energy security, vigorously promote the exploration and development of deep coalbed methane, and continuously consolidate the foundation of energy supply. The meeting emphasized the implementation of relevant plans. It called for the issuance and implementation of the "15th Five-Year Plan" for coalbed methane (coal mine gas) development and utilization, as well as action plans for increasing reserves and production in key regions, with tasks detailed to each enterprise and each coalbed methane block, increasing investment in exploration and development, and accelerating the construction of key projects. (National Energy Administration) [Liu Gang of the NDRC Led a Team to Conduct Work Research at Xiaomi Group] Liu Gang, Deputy Director of the Price Monitoring Center of the National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC), led a team to conduct work research at Xiaomi Group. The research covered the price trends of NEVs and mobile phones, sought to understand the main issues facing the industry, and solicited opinions and suggestions on standardizing the automotive industry’s practices and promoting orderly competition. (NDRC Price Monitoring Center) US Dollar: As of the overnight close, the US dollar index fell 0.54% to 100.86. The US economy added 57,000 nonfarm payrolls in June, below Wall Street expectations. After three consecutive months of stronger-than-expected employment growth, the slowdown in June hiring prompted the market to lower expectations for further Fed rate hikes. Data released by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics on Thursday showed that the 129,000 jobs added in June, revised down from May, represented a sharp decline, and was also below the 115,000 forecast by economists surveyed by Bloomberg. The report marked a significant cooling in the labour market following three months of better-than-expected job gains. While job growth decelerated, it remained well above the 2025 target of 10,000 new jobs per month on average. The unemployment rate edged down to 4.2% from 4.3% in May. The US dollar weakened as investors scaled back bets on further Fed rate hikes. Futures traders now expect the Fed to raise rates in December. Previously, the market had anticipated a rate hike in October. (Jin10 Data APP) A CICC research report stated that the US added 57,000 nonfarm payrolls in June, below market expectations, indicating that the acceleration in job growth has cooled. After downward revisions to previous months, the average job gains over the past three months still reached 111,000, suggesting that the labour market remains expansionary. Meanwhile, the unemployment rate fell to 4.2%, and the labour force participation rate continued to decline, reflecting steady labour demand alongside a shrinking labour supply, with overall unemployment pressure relatively low. We believe this data gives the Fed time to wait and watch, thus we maintain the view that there will be neither a rate hike nor a rate cut this year. In the medium term, the improvement in US employment this year is driven more by AI investment-led economic cycle repair rather than short-term factors like the World Cup. This means that if aggregate demand continues to expand under the boost of AI, the possibility of the Fed resuming rate hikes next year cannot be ruled out. (Jin10 Data APP) According to the CME FedWatch Tool: The probability that the Fed keeps interest rates unchanged in July is 82.4%, while the probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point rate hike is 17.6%. For the September meeting, the probability of rates staying unchanged is 46.8%, the probability of a cumulative 25-bp hike is 45.6%, and the probability of a cumulative 50-bp hike is 7.6%. (Jin10 Data APP) On the Macro Front: Today, data including China's June RatingDog Services PMI, French May industrial production month-on-month, the final June Services PMIs for France, Germany, the Eurozone, and the UK will be released. In addition, China will open a new round of price adjustment window for domestic refined oil products. ECB President Christine Lagarde will participate in an economic forum, and BOE Governor Andrew Bailey will speak on the coordination of fiscal and monetary policies. Notably, on July 3, US markets—NYSE will be closed for the US Independence Day holiday. CME will close trading in precious metals, energy, foreign exchange, US Treasury, and stock index futures contracts early at 01:00 Beijing time on July 4 for the Independence Day holiday. ICE will close Brent crude oil futures trading early at 01:30 Beijing time on July 4 for the Independence Day holiday. Crude Oil: Overnight, both oil benchmarks fell, with WTI crude down 0.17% and Brent crude down 0.01%, as buyers sought to secure supply ahead of the US Independence Day long weekend. Since Saudi Arabia resumed loading operations in the Persian Gulf, its crude oil exports have surged to roughly pre-war levels. This further indicates that regional producers' supply is recovering following the temporary peace agreement between the US and Iran. Bloomberg-compiled tanker tracking data showed that Saudi Arabia, the world’s largest oil exporter, averaged 6.3 million barrels per day (bpd) of crude exports in the six days through Wednesday. That export level is comparable to the 2025 average and has reached nearly 90% of the pre-war February level, when Saudi and its Gulf neighbours ramped up supply. (from Wallstreetcn APP) Since Saudi Arabia resumed tanker loading and unloading in the Persian Gulf, its crude oil exports have surged to near pre-war levels, further evidence that regional oil supply is recovering after the US-Iran temporary peace agreement. Bloomberg-compiled tanker tracking data showed that Saudi Arabia, the world's largest oil exporter, shipped an average of 6.3 million barrels per day (bpd) of crude in the six days through Wednesday. That shipping volume is roughly on par with the 2025 average and has reached nearly 90% of the February level. In February, before the Iran war broke out, Saudi Arabia and its Gulf neighbours had significantly increased oil supply. (Jin10 Data APP)
Jul 3, 2026 08:35The new hydrogen pipeline laying project for methanol recently completed filing. This is a new construction project, with the construction site located between the boundary of Shanxi Yaxin New Energy Technology Co., Ltd. and the boundary of the Lu’an Taihua plant area. The pipeline route will be laid along Kaixi Road and Kaizhong Road, with a total investment of 2 million yuan. According to the filing information, the project will utilize the existing overhead pipe gallery in the park to construct a new hydrogen transmission backup pipeline , with a pipeline length of approximately 1.8 kilometers. After completion, the annual external hydrogen supply capacity is expected to reach 144 million standard cubic meters. The project planned to start construction in June 2026 and be completed in August 2026. According to the filing requirements, construction may only formally commence after obtaining administrative permits from the relevant departments for planning, land use, construction, environmental protection, energy conservation, safety, and other aspects. From the perspective of application scenarios, this backup hydrogen transmission pipeline will further improve the hydrogen delivery supporting capacity of the park, providing support for the allocation of hydrogen resources among enterprises and stable supply. As the application of hydrogen energy accelerates in fields such as chemical industry, transportation, and industrial carbon reduction, the importance of park-level hydrogen transmission infrastructure is increasing.
Jul 2, 2026 16:03SMM July 2 news: Metal markets: As of midday close, base metals on the domestic market mostly fell. SHFE copper and SHFE aluminum each fell within 0.2%. SHFE lead fell 0.72%. SHFE zinc fell 1.04%. SHFE tin rose 0.15%. SHFE nickel fell 0.41%. In addition, the most-traded cast aluminum futures fell 0.97%, while the most-traded alumina futures rose 0.21%. Lithium carbonate most-traded futures extended gains from the previous three trading days, rising another 1.26%. Silicon metal most-traded futures fell 0.18%. Polysilicon most-traded futures rose 0.36%. Ferrous metals mostly fell. Iron ore rose 0.54%. HRC and rebar fell within 0.5% each, and stainless steel fell 0.92%. Coking coal and coke: the most-traded coking coal contract rose 0.28%, and the most-traded coke contract fell 0.96%. In overseas base metal markets, as of 11:39 am, LME metals nearly all fell. LME copper fell 0.31%, LME aluminum fell 0.19%, LME lead was flat at $1,866.5/mt. LME zinc fell 0.2%, LME tin edged lower, and LME nickel fell 0.4%. In precious metals, as of 11:39 am, COMEX gold fell 0.16% and COMEX silver rose 0.03%. In domestic precious metals: SHFE gold rose 1.28%; the most-traded SHFE silver contract rose 2.06%. In addition, as of midday close, the most-traded platinum futures rose 5.12%, and the most-traded palladium futures rose 2.82%. As of midday close, the most-traded European route container freight futures fell 2.12% to 2,561 points. As of 11:39 am on July 2, midday futures quotes for select contracts: Spot and Fundamentals Aluminum: In the morning session, the trading center of the SHFE aluminum 2606 contract was higher than that of the same period on the previous trading day. Warrant cargoes continued to flow out of the market, and circulating spot supply was generally ample. Downstream only saw sporadic restocking, and with bearish sentiment spreading in the futures market, end-user purchase willingness was overall weak. Mainstream transactions were at parity to a premium of 20 yuan/mt over the SHFE aluminum 2607 contract... Macro Front Domestic: [The mandatory national standard "Safety Requirements for Combined Driving Assistance System of Intelligent and Connected Vehicles" was officially released] On June 27, the mandatory national standard "Safety Requirements for Combined Driving Assistance System of Intelligent and Connected Vehicles" (GB 47955—2026), organized, formulated and centralized by the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, was approved and released by the State Administration for Market Regulation and the National Standardization Administration, and is scheduled to be officially implemented on January 1, 2027. 《Safety Requirements for Intelligent Connected Vehicles—Combined Driver Assistance Systems, grounded in the needs of industry development and regulatory oversight in China, takes into account technical feasibility, product compatibility, and practical implementability, and establishes a safety indicator framework with clear requirements, comprehensive dimensions, and alignment with national conditions. First, it fully considers different product forms and technical routes, proposing applicable safety requirements for three types of combined driver assistance system products: basic single-lane, basic multi-lane, and navigation driver assistance. Second, based on China’s road traffic characteristics, it sets out baseline requirements to ensure the safe operation of combined driver assistance systems across dimensions such as functional requirements, data recording, and vehicle manufacturer safety assurance. Third, recognizing the core positioning of these systems as "assistance" in driving, it puts forward requirements for user usage and operation in areas such as human-machine interaction, usage instructions, and user training, providing a foundational guarantee for proper coordination between users and systems. Fourth, in line with the practical needs of China’s industry management, it builds a multi-tiered evaluation approach encompassing field tests, road tests, and document inspections to comprehensively assess system safety capabilities. The PBOC conducted ¥288.5 billion in 7-day reverse repos today, with an operation rate of 1.4%, unchanged from the previous level. Today, ¥370.5 billion in reverse repos matured. US Dollar: As of 11:39, the US dollar index fell 0.03% to 101.39. Fed Chairman Warsh said Wednesday that inflation expectations and inflation risks have both declined in recent weeks, while reiterating the Fed’s commitment to bringing inflation down to the 2% target. "In the first few weeks of this period, inflation expectations have pulled back, and inflation risks have also eased," Warsh said. "If households, the business community, or financial markets think the Fed is comfortable with inflation above 2%—well, they are likely to be disappointed: we will ensure price stability in the US." Fed Chairman Warsh sidestepped questions on whether the Fed might raise rates at its July meeting. "I hope that when we meet in four weeks, we can have a robust 'internal family debate,'" he said. "When we close the doors and sit down together, we will have a vigorous debate. But beyond that, I have no further information to share." Warsh made the remarks at the ECB’s annual policy conference in Sintra, Portugal; this was his first public appearance since his inaugural press conference at the Fed last month. Since then, investors have begun to anticipate more rate hikes from the Fed, but the market currently sees the likelihood of a first hike this month at less than 50%. According to CME "Fed Watch": The probability that the US Fed will keep rates unchanged in July is 71.7%, and the probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point rate hike is 28.3%. The probability that the Fed will keep rates unchanged by September is 36.1%, the probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point hike is 49.8%, and the probability of a cumulative 50-basis-point hike is 14.1%. (Jin10 Data APP) On the data front: US manufacturing expanded for a sixth consecutive month in June, with the war-driven surge in input costs easing. Printing, electrical equipment, and textiles led the gains, while paper products, furniture, and wood products contracted. Market attention has now shifted to Thursday's US employment report. Julien Lafargue, chief market strategist at Barclays Private Bank and Wealth Management, noted that with Warsh prioritizing inflation, the June non-farm payrolls data is "unlikely to change rate expectations on its own." He added that hiring related to the FIFA World Cup is expected to distort the data. (Wall Street Insights) Data front: Today will see the release of the US June unemployment rate, US June seasonally adjusted non-farm payrolls, US initial jobless claims for the week ended June 27, US June average hourly earnings year-over-year, US June average hourly earnings month-over-month, US May factory orders month-over-month, Switzerland June CPI month-over-month, eurozone May unemployment rate, among other data. Additionally, watch for: the Ministry of Commerce's regular press conference for the first week of July, and 2027 FOMC voting member and San Francisco Fed President Daly’s participation in a conference on the Spanish economy. Due to the US Independence Day holiday (July 3), the US June non-farm payrolls data will be released earlier on July 2 (Thursday) at 20:30 Beijing time. US stock markets will be closed on July 3 (Friday). Trading in precious metals, energy, foreign exchange, US Treasury, and equity index futures contracts on CME will end early at 01:00 Beijing time on July 4. Trading in Brent crude oil futures contracts on ICE will end early at 01:30 Beijing time on July 4. Investors are advised to take note. (Jin10 Data APP) Crude oil: As of 11:39, oil prices in both markets extended their decline from the previous two trading sessions, with WTI down 1.4% and Brent down 1.24%. International crude oil prices pulled back due to progress in Middle East peace talks. (Wall Street Insights) As supply through the Strait of Hormuz rebounded, OCBC Group Research lowered its quarterly crude oil forecasts through the end of Q2 2027. Two OCBC strategists noted in a research report: "With the signing of a memorandum of understanding between the US and Iran, shipping and crude oil supply through the Strait of Hormuz have rebounded."They also said, "Market expectations that crude oil supply would return to normal quickly pushed oil prices back to pre-conflict levels, rekindling oversupply rhetoric." OCBC cut its Brent crude price forecast for Q3 2026 from $85 to $75 per barrel, Q4 2026 from $80 to $75, Q1 2027 from $75 to $73, and Q2 2027 from $75 to $71. (Jin10 Data APP) Increasing energy flows through the Strait of Hormuz prompted UBS to cut its 2026-2027 oil price forecast. UBS now expects Brent crude to average $84 per barrel this year, down $9 from its previous forecast. The bank also cut its 2027 oil price forecast from $85 to $75 per barrel. UBS said, "The decline in geopolitical risk and the rapid rebound in supply led to a larger price drop than we had expected." The bank expects oil prices to rebound slightly to $80 per barrel in H2 this year as floating storage in the Gulf region normalizes and demand recovers. UBS also believes risk premiums will be higher because the path to normalization may remain bumpy. UBS said, "The need to replenish inventories should continue to support prices through the end of 2027, but the required magnitude of stock rebuilding is smaller than the 1 billion barrels we previously expected." (Jin10 Data APP) Spot Market Overview: ► ► ► ► ► ► ► ► ► ► ► ► ►
Jul 2, 2026 14:15We have updated the organization of our Other Minor Metals section for better navigation, grouping price points by specific metal categories.
Apr 21, 2026 13:49As the Chinese New Year holiday is around the corner, Shanghai Metals Market (SMM) hereby informs you of our metal price update arrangement during the holiday period to ensure you can make proper arra
PriceFeb 14, 2026 10:22Dear User, To better serve upstream and downstream enterprises in the aluminum industry chain, assist the market in promptly grasping price dynamics of caustic soda—a key auxiliary material for alumina production—and meet the reference needs of various parties for 50% ionic membrane liquid caustic soda transactions and settlements in different regions, Shanghai Metals Market (SMM), based on thorough market research and data accumulation, has decided to officially commence the daily publication of the " 50% Ion-membrane process caustic soda solution POT, ex-works Shanxi, China, VAT included, yuan/tonne " starting December 29, 2025. This will provide a fair and timely price reference for market transactions of this product. General Principles of SMM Price Methodology: Shanghai Metals Market (hereinafter referred to as SMM) is a fully independent third-party service provider. SMM does not participate in any substantive transactions but maintains close communication with buyers or sellers in the market as an observer or organizer and provides related services to the market. SMM continuously develops, reviews, and revises its methodology through communication with industry professionals, adopting the most common product specifications, trade terms, and conditions within the industry. Equal importance is given to normal transactions that meet the standard specifications. SMM reserves the right to exclude any price information deemed less reliable or unrepresentative from its price assessments. SMM publishes daily metal spot prices (or price indices, including for the Chinese market, markets outside China, and global markets), commonly referred to as SMM Prices. SMM has established corresponding methodologies for all published SMM Prices (all of which are available for inquiry on SMM's official website news.metal.com ). These methodologies stipulate the methods and procedures for generating and publishing SMM Prices, which are strictly followed. To align with the actual conditions of the spot market, SMM will make necessary revisions to the SMM Price methodologies and will announce such revisions on the SMM official website before their formal implementation. For any questions or suggestions regarding SMM Prices and their methodologies, please contact SMM customer service (contact information can be found on SMM's official website news.metal.com ). Aluminum Team SMM Information & Technology Co., Ltd. December 26, 2025
PriceDec 26, 2025 14:04