This week, the Co3O4 market maintained a stable trend, with overall activity still relatively weak. Quotations from top-tier enterprises remained at a high level of around 370,000 yuan/mt, while the tight inventory of cobalt intermediate products continued to provide cost support for prices. However, downstream LCO material plants did not accelerate their procurement pace, mostly conducting small-scale restocking based on orders on hand, and market inquiry sentiment improved slightly WoW. Going forward, the pace of end-use demand will become the key variable determining the procurement intensity of cathode materials. In the short term, the Co3O4 market will still mainly remain stable, awaiting further clarity on the demand side.

[Silicon Metal Market Sees Rising Bargaining Sentiment, Focus on Changes in Supply-Side Operating Rates]: This week, the silicon metal market held steady, with the price center of some specifications edging up slightly. As of March 26, SMM east China oxygen-blown #553 silicon was at 9,100-9,300 yuan/mt, up 100 yuan/mt WoW. #441 silicon was at 9,300-9,500 yuan/mt, flat WoW, and #3303 silicon was at 10,200-10,400 yuan/mt, also flat WoW. In the futures market, affected by sentiment and expectations around supply-side factors such as “self-discipline among silicon enterprises and anti-involution,” the most-traded silicon metal futures contract continued to hold up well over the past week, closing at 8,735 yuan/mt late on Thursday with a notable gain. In terms of quotations, silicon enterprises mostly kept shipment quotes stable, with some quotes testing slightly higher; the quote center of trading firms engaging in both spot and futures market rose markedly, and low-priced cargoes disappeared. As downstream acceptance of high prices was limited, high-priced transactions were difficult to conclude in the market.

[Overnight, LME Aluminum and SHFE Aluminum Edged Up Slightly, but Aluminum Prices Faced Short-Term Pressure at High Levels] Continued destocking in LME inventory provided bottom support for LME aluminum, but amid tightening fund liquidity and profit-taking by bulls, upward momentum remained insufficient, and the backwardation structure weakened somewhat. China’s social inventory rose to a high for the same period in nearly five years, and the inventory buildup cycle had yet to end, with high inventory and weak spot fundamentals jointly weighing on upward momentum. The divergence between domestic and overseas drivers continued, the SHFE/LME price ratio kept weakening, and prices were mainly under pressure in the short term.

SMM News, March 25: In early trading, SHFE aluminum 2604 fluctuated downward, but was slightly higher than the previous trading day. Overall market buying sentiment was good, and sellers held prices firm as aluminum prices remained at relatively low levels. Later in the morning, SHFE aluminum 2604 fluctuated upward, with its center running higher than the previous trading day. Some sellers still did not quote prices, while some showed a notably stronger willingness to hold prices firm. Overall market buying sentiment was good. Today’s mainstream transaction prices were concentrated around the average price of the SHFE aluminum 04 contract to a premium of 10 yuan/mt. Today, the east China market shipment sentiment index was 2.64, up 0.01 WoW; the purchasing sentiment index was 2.42, up 0.02 WoW. Today, aluminum prices stopped falling and rebounded. Affected by the fear of further declines over the previous two days, traders and downstream processing enterprises in central China showed slightly improved buying sentiment today from the previous day, but overall transactions had not yet returned to a fully active state, and buyers tended to purchase at wider discounts. Ultimately, actual transaction prices in the central China market ranged from a discount of 20 yuan to a premium of 10 yuan against the central China price. Today, the central China market shipment sentiment index was 2.64, up 0.01 WoW; the purchasing sentiment index was 2.42, up 0.02 WoW. Inventory side, aluminum ingot inventory in major consumption regions increased by 4,000 mt from the previous period today, with Guangdong being the main source of destocking. In the short term, aluminum ingot continued its post-Chinese New Year seasonal inventory buildup. Supported by bullish sentiment, premiums are expected to remain on a narrowing trend.

[SMM Cast Aluminum Alloy Morning Comment: Aluminum Prices Halted Their Decline, but Wait-and-See Sentiment Remained Unchanged; Rangebound Movement May Continue in the Short Term] Spot market, yesterday the overall ADC12 market continued to hold prices steady. Aluminum prices showed signs of halting their decline, but market sentiment recovered only limitedly, and enterprises generally chose to postpone price adjustments and mainly adopt a wait-and-see stance. Demand side, downstream orders did not improve significantly, and just-in-time procurement remained the main approach, with mediocre transaction performance. Against the backdrop of easing cost-side fluctuations and insufficient demand support, ADC12 prices may continue to fluctuate within a range and remain relatively stable in the short term, with relatively limited momentum for price adjustments. Further attention should still be paid to aluminum price trends and the recovery of end-use demand.

SMM News on March 26: According to SMM, starting from March 26, Shandong Humon Smelting Co., Ltd. conducted a public tender sale of its high-purity tellurium head and tail materials. Specifically, according to official information, the quantity was 2,000 kg, the packaging was iron drums, the delivery method was self pick-up by the buyer, freight was borne by the buyer, and the buyer was required to pick up the goods before April 20, 2026. The delivery location was Shandong Humon Smelting Co., Ltd. (No. 11 Jinzheng Street, Shuidao Town, Muping District, Yantai, Shandong Province). Sales contact: Wang Peng Tel: 17616212861 At present, the official side did not provide a starting bid price for the tender; instead, the highest bidder would win. The buyer should fill in the quotation based on its own circumstances. If the buyer's quotation did not reach the seller's reserve price, the seller had the right to refuse the sale. To ensure timely quotations, please send back the inquiry sheet, a copy of the participating party's business license, and invoicing information (stamped with the official seal) to 17616212861@163.com before 11:30 a.m. on March 27, 2026, and contact Humon personnel in a timely manner for collection.