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- US Fed Officials: Middle East Conflict May Delay US Interest Rate Cut
On Tuesday, Eastern Time, Chicago Fed President Goolsbee warned that the energy shock stemming from the Middle East conflict is threatening the US Fed’s dual mandate, complicating its monetary policy outlook and potentially delaying interest rate cuts—echoing earlier remarks by Fed Governor Barr that inflation risks and oil prices support keeping rates unchanged for longer. Specifically, the energy price shock poses risks to both sides of the US Fed’s dual mandate, making the trade-off between controlling inflation and supporting economic growth more complex. “The new shock has undoubtedly disrupted the US Fed’s plans... and inflation was already uncomfortably high even before the shock occurred,” Goolsbee said bluntly. Goolsbee noted that central bank policymakers around the world lack clear historical experience to draw on in dealing with the current mix of geopolitical risks and inflationary pressures, and therefore “this is a bad situation for central banks.” Goolsbee stressed that the current path of interest rates at central banks around the world still depends heavily on how the conflict evolves, especially its impact on energy markets. As for the US Fed, he said he is not yet able to judge whether it will be able to cut interest rates again, because that outlook depends on the duration of the conflict and the extent to which rising oil prices affect overall inflation. “Only if inflation shows improvement can one realistically expect rates to fall this year,” he added, further reinforcing the US Fed’s data-dependent stance. The US Fed’s Internal Stance Is Turning More Cautious These remarks by Goolsbee were highly consistent with earlier comments by Fed Governor Michael Barr. Barr had previously also emphasized that, given that US inflation remains above target and elevated oil prices are further pushing up inflation, interest rates may need to remain unchanged “for some time.” In addition, Barr likewise pointed out that although the US labour market appears to be stabilizing, US Fed officials need to see clear evidence of sustained disinflation before considering interest rate cuts. Taken together, these comments highlight the US Fed’s increasingly cautious shift in stance. As geopolitical developments exert a growing influence on the US inflation outlook, the combination of persistent price pressures and external shocks has reinforced expectations that high inflation will last longer, while also creating uncertainty over the feasibility of further policy easing in the near term. For markets, the key point is that after the Russia-Ukraine shock several years ago, energy-driven inflation risks have now been firmly incorporated into the US Fed’s reaction function. As a result, US Fed rate expectations may remain sensitive not only to economic data, but also to developments in the Middle East conflict and their impact on oil prices.
Mar 25, 2026 10:46 - Mingyang Hydrogen’s MYH-K-1000 Electrolyzer Passed the “Frontrunner Program” Evaluation
Recently, Mingyang Hydrogen’s MYH-K-1000 electrolyzer completed the authoritative evaluation under the China Hydrogen Alliance’s “Leader Program” and received the official test report. With multiple industry-leading performance indicators, it has established a new benchmark for alkaline electrolyzers adapted to fluctuating new energy scenarios, marking a major technological milestone for the company in the field of hydrogen energy equipment. This product is the first 1,000 Nm³/h-class alkaline electrolyzer on the China Hydrogen Alliance’s field-testing platform to achieve the “15th Five-Year Plan” target of 20%–120% ultra-wide flexible load regulation . At the 20% minimum load, it can stably control hydrogen content in oxygen to within 1.5%, enabling long-term stable operation. It also features rapid load response capability of 5%/s to 10%/s. Its core performance is industry-leading and perfectly suited to the flexible operating conditions of wind and solar power generation, providing robust support for the development of the green fuel industry. The test certification presentation ceremony was held at Mingyang Hydrogen’s Beijing Center. Yu Tianxiao, Director of the Quality Value Center at Guoneng Hydrogen Innovation and Deputy General Manager of Hydrogen Testing Technology, presented the certification report to Pan Yongle, Executive Director and CEO of Mingyang Hydrogen, and both parties witnessed this important moment together. Rigorous Field Testing Validates Outstanding Performance, Strong Results Under Extreme Cold Conditions According to the alliance’s field-test data, under 100% rated load, the MYH-K-1000 kept hydrogen content in oxygen below 0.5% and successfully passed load ramp-up and ramp-down tests at 3%/s and 5%/s. Under the ultra-low load of 20%, hydrogen content in oxygen remained compliant, while DC power consumption was as low as 3.85 kWh, achieving efficient and stable operation. This long-duration test was conducted throughout in an outdoor environment at minus 20°C . The product still demonstrated excellent cold and hot start capabilities, as well as high reliability, high safety, and fully flexible operating characteristics, overcoming the longstanding low-temperature operating limitations of traditional electrolyzers and enabling adaptation to more extreme application scenarios. Breakthroughs in Core Technology Innovation Set a New Industry Benchmark This electrolyzer adopts advanced integrated die-casting technology, delivering high consistency in its internal structure. The area of its electrolysis unit is 75% larger than that of traditional designs, and it overcomes sealing challenges on the basis of zero-electrode-gap technology, significantly improving product performance and production efficiency and setting a new technological benchmark for the industry. Company Statement: Continuous Innovation-Driven Development and Deepening Commitment to Hydrogen Energy Equipment Pan Yongle, CEO of Mingyang Hydrogen, stated that this certification is the result of the team’s technological breakthroughs. The company will continue to uphold the philosophy of “innovation-driven, green future,” further increase R&D investment, launch more high performance products, provide global clients with high-quality hydrogen energy solutions, and support the industry’s high-quality development.
Mar 24, 2026 11:53 - Silver Ingot Imports Surged in February 2026 to a Multi-Year High, Reshaping the Market Supply-Demand Pattern
The latest customs data showed that in February 2026, China’s imports of unwrought silver ingots with a purity of no less than 99.99% reached 206.76 mt, up 499% MoM and surging 5,910% YoY to a multi-year high. The rare opening of the import window drove significant changes in the supply-demand pattern of the domestic silver ingot market.
Mar 25, 2026 17:51 - How low could gold go?
“Gold’s status as a haven may now be tarnished in the eyes of some as the precious metal is falling in price even as war roils the Middle East and financial markets alike, and some may even be tempted to say that the third major bull run in the commodity since 1971 is now over,” says AJ Bell investment director Russ Mould.
Mar 23, 2026 09:43 - What Could Change if Middle East Aluminum Trade Reroutes—and Supply Becomes Substitutable
Strait of Hormuz disruptions and Iran tensions are driving up aluminum prices and premiums. Aluminium Bahrain and Qatalum have cut output, while feedstock is tight. Rerouting via Port of Sohar or Saudi ports raises costs and delays. Buyers are turning to China, India, Russia, Canada, and scrap to offset risk. Prolonged disruption could reduce Middle East market share and reprice it as higher-risk supply.
Mar 24, 2026 17:22 - [SMM Hot Topic] Weak Domestic Demand + Export Diversion Cool the “North-to-South Steel Flow”
As supply and demand for construction steel were not fully matched across different markets, regional supply-demand mismatches created price differentiation, which in turn drove the cross-regional circulation of steel resources. When the regional price spread gradient was appropriate, regions with surplus construction steel capacity and production often shipped excess resources out, thereby rebalancing construction steel resources across regions.
Mar 24, 2026 15:54
Announcements
Dear Users, To fully cover price information across all links of the molybdenum industry chain, facilitate upstream and downstream enterprises in grasping market changes, and reduce transaction risks, after thorough market research and industry communication, we hereby decide to add 7 molybdenum industry chain-related price indicators, including molybdenum concentrate (25%-40%), molybdenum oxide (57%) CIF Tianjin Port, waste molybdenum scrap, and waste molybdenum cutting wire. The newly added price indicators are as follows: Molybdenum concentrate 40%-45%: Complies with industry standard YS/T 235-2016, with a molybdenum content of 40%-45%. Unit: RMB/ton-degree (tax-inclusive). Molybdenum Concentrate 35%-40% : Complies with industry standard YS/T 235-2016, with a molybdenum content of 35%-40%. Unit: RMB/ton-degree (tax-inclusive). Molybdenum Concentrate 30%-35%: Complies with industry standard YS/T 235-2016, with a molybdenum content of 30%-35%. Unit: RMB/ton-degree (tax-inclusive). Molybdenum Concentrate 25%-30% : Complies with industry standard YS/T 235-2016, with a molybdenum content of 25%-30%. Unit: RMB/ton-degree (tax-inclusive). Note: The above 4 molybdenum concentrate price indicators are all tax-inclusive. Molybdenum Oxide (57% Mo) CIF Tianjin Port: Complies with national standard YB/T 5129-2012, with Mo ≥ 57%. Unit: USD/pound molybdenum (tax-exclusive). Waste Molybdenum Scrap: Complies with national standard GB/T 27687-2011, with Mo ≥ 99.95%, clean and free of impurities. Unit: RMB/kilogram (tax-exclusive). Waste Molybdenum Cutting Wire: Complies with national standard GB/T 27687-2011, with Mo ≥ 99.95%, clean and free of impurities. Unit: RMB/kilogram (tax-exclusive). Note: The above 3 price indicators are all tax-exclusive. Effective Date: The newly added price indicators will be officially released on December 1, 2025, and updated around 11:30 AM every working day. This addition aims to achieve more refined regional and grade classification. All new price indicators are formulated based on mainstream industry transaction specifications and trade terms, verified through standard sampling and verification processes, and are for market reference only, not constituting trading decision advice. For information on price formation methodology and detailed product specifications, please log on to the official platform. If you have any questions, please contact Li Jiahui from SMM Tungsten & Molybdenum Research Team at +86-21-51666882. SMM Tungsten & Molybdenum Industry Research TeamDecember 5, 2025
PriceDec 5, 2025 13:53Dear User, Hello! To comprehensively cover price information across all segments of the rare earth industry chain and assist upstream and downstream enterprises in monitoring market fluctuations and mitigating transaction risks, we have conducted extensive market surveys and industry consultations. It has been decided to introduce six new price points related to the rare earth industry chain, including lanthanum metal, praseodymium metal, and praseodymium oxide. The newly added price points are as follows: Praseodymium Oxide FOB： Compliant with Industry Standard GB/T 5239-2015, Content ≥99.0–99.9%, Unit: $/kg Terbium Oxide FOB： Compliant with Industry Standard GB/T 12144-2009, Content ≥99.95–99.99%, Unit $/kg The above two prices for rare earth oxides are inclusive of VAT, with the port of departure being any port within China. Lanthanum Metal FOB： Compliant with Industry Standard GB/T 15677-2023, Content ≥99.0%, Unit: $/kg Praseodymium Metal FOB： Compliant with industry standard GB/T 19395-2013, content ≥96.0-99.0%, unit $/kg Terbium Metal FOB： Compliant with Industry Standard GB/T 20893-2007, Content ≥99.9%, Unit: $/kg Yttrium Metal FOB： Complies with Industry Standard XB/T 218-2016, Content ≥99.9–99.95%, Unit: $/kg The price point of this rare earth metal includes VAT, and the port of departure is any port within China. Effective Date: The aforementioned new price points will be officially released starting January 28, 2026, and will be updated every Wednesday before 12:00 PM. The purpose of this addition is to achieve more refined regional and grade classifications. All newly added price points are based on mainstream industry trading specifications and trade conditions, formed through screening and verification via standard price collection processes. They are provided for market reference only and do not constitute trading decision recommendations. For details on the price formation methodology and specific product specifications, please log in to the official platform. If you have any questions, feel free to contact SMM Rare Earth Analyst Shi Xin at 021-51666815. SMM Rare Earth Industry Research Team January 27, 2026
PriceJan 27, 2026 13:58To Valued Customers Dear Customers, To fully cover the price information across all links of the tungsten industry chain, accurately reflect the spot market trends of products such as low-grade tungsten concentrate, tungsten products, photovoltaic tungsten wire busbars and tungsten scrap, and help enterprises upstream and downstream of the industrial chain keep abreast of market changes and reduce trading risks, we have decided to add 11 new tungsten industry chain - related price points after conducting sufficient market research and in-depth communication with the industry. The new price points are detailed as follows: Scheelite Concentrate (25%-30% WO₃) : Compliant with the industrial standards applicable in Henan, Guangxi and Hunan regions. It refers to scheelite concentrate with a WO₃ content ranging from 25% to 30%. Unit: RMB per ton-unit of WO₃. Scheelite Concentrate (23%-25% WO₃) : Compliant with the industrial standard YS/T 231 - 2015. It refers to scheelite concentrate with a WO₃ content ranging from 23% to 25%. Unit: RMB per ton-unit of WO₃. Ammonium Metatungstate (AMT) : Compliant with the national standard GB/T 26033 - 2010. Its technical indicators are as follows: WO₃ content ≥ 81.5%, Fe content ≤ 0.0020%, Pb content ≤ 0.0001%, and Si content ≤ 0.0015%. Unit: RMB per ton. Wire-Drawing Tungsten Bar : Compliant with the requirements of the national standard GB/T 3459 - 2022, with a tungsten (W) content ≥ 99.95%. Unit: RMB per kilogram. Steelmaking Tungsten Bar : Compliant with the requirements of the national standard GB/T 3459 - 2022, with a tungsten (W) content ≥ 99.95%. Unit: RMB per kilogram. Cut-Resistant Tungsten Wire for Photovoltaic Applications (24μm - 30μm) : With a tungsten (W) content ≥ 99.95%, a diameter ranging from 24μm to 30μm, and a tensile strength of ≥ 3500MPa. Unit: RMB per kilometer. The above - listed prices are all ex - factory pick - up prices including 13% value - added tax (VAT). Details of the 5 New Tungsten Scrap Price Points Scrap Button Bits : Compliant with the quality requirements for cemented carbide scrap specified in the national standard GB/T 21182 - 2022. Unit: RMB per kilogram. Scrap Anvils : Compliant with the quality requirements for cemented carbide scrap specified in the national standard GB/T 21182 - 2022. Unit: RMB per kilogram. Scrap Roller Rings : Compliant with the quality requirements for cemented carbide scrap specified in the national standard GB/T 21182 - 2022. Unit: RMB per kilogram. Scrap Tungsten Chips/Wires : Compliant with the requirements of the national standard GB/T 26496 - 2011 Tungsten and Tungsten Alloy Scrap . It has a tungsten content ≥ 90% and no other inclusions. Unit: RMB per kilogram. Scrap Tungsten Blocks/Sheets : Compliant with the requirements of the national standard GB/T 26496 - 2011 Tungsten and Tungsten Alloy Scrap . It has a tungsten content ≥ 90% and no other inclusions. Unit: RMB per kilogram. The five tungsten scrap prices mentioned above are all excluding VAT. Effective Date The above - mentioned new price points will be officially released starting from November 21, 2025 and updated on each working day. The launch of these new price points aims to achieve more refined classification by region and grade. All the new price points are formulated based on mainstream industrial trading specifications and terms, which have been verified through a standardized price - data collection process. They are for market reference only and do not constitute trading decision - making advice. For details on the pricing methodology and specific product specifications, please visit our official platform. If you have any questions, please feel free to contact Li Jiahui from SMM Tungsten and Molybdenum Analysis at 021 - 51666882.
PriceNov 20, 2025 14:47