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Macro news boosts market sentiment, and SHFE lead prices may rebound upward at night [Brief comment on lead futures]

  • Jul 18, 2025, at 6:58 pm

SMM News on July 18:

The most-traded SHFE lead 2508 contract opened at 16,815 yuan/mt today. After briefly touching a high of 16,850 yuan/mt in the early session, it fluctuated downward, breaking below the 16,800 yuan/mt level in the tail end of the session. It finally closed at 16,820 yuan/mt, down 0.15%, with an open interest of 50,581 lots, recording a small doji bearish candlestick.

New battery dealers are holding high inventory levels, and end-use consumption has not shown significant improvement. Battery producers have a general willingness to purchase lead ingots, while smelters' enthusiasm for shipping goods is relatively low. The spot market's performance has dragged lead prices down, resulting in a four-day losing streak. This afternoon, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology (MIIT) released a plan to promote ten key industries, including steel and non-ferrous metals, leading to a general rise in major LME metals. Attention should be paid to the extent to which SHFE lead prices are boosted by this news tonight.

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market exchanges, and SMM's internal database models, and are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making advice.

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